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Sunday 2 April 2017, 13:00 Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán Full time
Sevilla
0–0
HT 0–0
Sporting Gijon
77% 14% 9%
Home win
77.1%
Draw
14.2%
Away win
8.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla 77.1% 1.30 — —
Draw 14.2% 7.07 — —
Sporting Gijon 8.7% 11.46 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.4% 1.03 — —
Under 0.5 2.6% 38.80 — —
Over 1.5 89.7% 1.12 — —
Under 1.5 10.3% 9.68 — —
Over 2.5 73.2% 1.37 — —
Under 2.5 26.8% 3.73 — —
Over 3.5 52.8% 1.89 — —
Under 3.5 47.2% 2.12 — —
Over 4.5 33.3% 3.00 — —
Under 4.5 66.7% 1.50 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.2% 1.75 — —
No 42.8% 2.34 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla / Draw 91.3% 1.10 — —
Sevilla / Sporting Gijon 85.8% 1.16 — —
Draw / Sporting Gijon 22.9% 4.37 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.6
1.7
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
6.1
6.3
2.7
0.8
0.2
0.0
2
9.2
8.5
3.9
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
8.9
8.2
3.8
1.2
0.3
0.0
4
6.4
5.9
2.7
0.8
0.2
0.0
5
3.7
3.4
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
Rows: Sevilla goals. Columns: Sporting Gijon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Sevilla
W W D D L
Sporting Gijon
D L L D W

Head to head

Oct 2016 Sporting Gijon 1-1 Sevilla

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.