Monday 6 March 2017, 21:45
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
25%
28%
47%
Home win
25.4%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
46.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 25.4% | 3.94 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.8% | 3.59 | — | — |
| Sevilla | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.2% | 10.90 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.9% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.7% | 4.22 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.5% | 9.49 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.6% | 2.01 | — | — |
| No | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Alaves / Sevilla | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Sevilla | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.2
|
11.6
|
9.0
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
7.8
|
13.2
|
9.1
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
4.3
|
6.3
|
4.6
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
1.5
|
2.1
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Sevilla
1-1
Alaves
Sep 2025
Alaves
1-2
Sevilla
Apr 2025
Sevilla
1-1
Alaves
Sep 2024
Alaves
2-1
Sevilla
Jan 2024
Sevilla
2-3
Alaves
Aug 2023
Alaves
4-3
Sevilla
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.