Saturday 11 February 2017, 17:15
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
18%
26%
56%
Home win
18.1%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
55.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 18.1% | 5.51 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.2% | 3.82 | — | — |
| Barcelona | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.4% | 10.59 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.4% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.0% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.9% | 4.37 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.0% | 9.95 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| No | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Alaves / Barcelona | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Barcelona | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.4
|
13.5
|
11.5
|
6.2
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
6.5
|
12.3
|
9.4
|
5.1
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
2.9
|
4.7
|
3.8
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
1.3
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Alaves
1-0
Barcelona
Nov 2025
Barcelona
3-1
Alaves
Feb 2025
Barcelona
1-0
Alaves
Oct 2024
Alaves
0-3
Barcelona
Feb 2024
Alaves
1-3
Barcelona
Nov 2023
Barcelona
2-1
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.