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Sunday 22 January 2017, 21:45 Ipurua Municipal Stadium Full time
0–4
HT 0–1
20% 23% 57%
Home win
20.4%
Draw
22.6%
Away win
57.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar 20.4% 4.91
Draw 22.6% 4.43
Barcelona 57.0% 1.75

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.1% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.9% 20.27
Over 1.5 82.6% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.4% 5.76
Over 2.5 60.7% 1.65
Under 2.5 39.3% 2.54
Over 3.5 38.3% 2.61
Under 3.5 61.7% 1.62
Over 4.5 20.8% 4.80
Under 4.5 79.2% 1.26

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.2% 1.69
No 40.8% 2.45

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar / Draw 43.0% 2.33
Eibar / Barcelona 77.4% 1.29
Draw / Barcelona 79.6% 1.26

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.9
8.1
8.7
5.8
2.9
1.2
1
4.3
10.4
9.9
6.6
3.3
1.3
2
2.8
5.6
5.6
3.7
1.9
0.8
3
1.0
2.1
2.1
1.4
0.7
0.3
4
0.3
0.6
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eibar goals. Columns: Barcelona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.