Skip to content
Sunday 18 December 2016, 17:15 Municipal de Butarque Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
26% 30% 44%
Home win
26.1%
Draw
29.7%
Away win
44.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes 26.1% 3.82
Draw 29.7% 3.37
Eibar 44.2% 2.26

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.7% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.3% 8.82
Over 1.5 66.5% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.5% 2.98
Over 2.5 39.0% 2.56
Under 2.5 61.0% 1.64
Over 3.5 19.0% 5.25
Under 3.5 81.0% 1.24
Over 4.5 7.8% 12.84
Under 4.5 92.2% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.3% 2.21
No 54.7% 1.83

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes / Draw 55.8% 1.79
Leganes / Eibar 70.3% 1.42
Draw / Eibar 73.9% 1.35

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.3
13.0
9.0
3.9
1.3
0.3
1
9.2
13.8
8.5
3.7
1.2
0.3
2
4.7
6.1
4.0
1.7
0.6
0.1
3
1.5
1.9
1.3
0.5
0.2
0.0
4
0.3
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leganes goals. Columns: Eibar goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.