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Saturday 22 September 2018, 17:15 Ipurua Municipal Stadium Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
52% 28% 20%
Home win
52.2%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
19.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar 52.2% 1.91
Draw 28.1% 3.56
Leganes 19.6% 5.09

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.8% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.2% 8.92
Over 1.5 66.6% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.4% 2.99
Over 2.5 39.2% 2.55
Under 2.5 60.8% 1.65
Over 3.5 19.2% 5.22
Under 3.5 80.8% 1.24
Over 4.5 7.9% 12.72
Under 4.5 92.1% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.8% 2.34
No 57.2% 1.75

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar / Draw 80.4% 1.24
Eibar / Leganes 71.9% 1.39
Draw / Leganes 47.8% 2.09

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.2
7.6
3.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
14.6
12.9
4.8
1.3
0.3
0.0
2
11.2
8.9
3.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
5.5
4.3
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.0
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eibar goals. Columns: Leganes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.