Sunday 16 September 2018, 13:00
Municipal de Butarque
Full time
28%
30%
42%
Home win
27.8%
Draw
30.5%
Away win
41.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 27.8% | 3.60 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
| Villarreal | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.0% | 8.30 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.0% | 2.85 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.8% | 5.63 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.1% | 14.11 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| No | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes / Draw | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Leganes / Villarreal | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Villarreal | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.0
|
13.1
|
8.5
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
9.9
|
14.0
|
8.1
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
5.1
|
6.3
|
3.9
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.6
|
2.0
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Villarreal
3-0
Leganes
Dec 2024
Leganes
2-5
Villarreal
Mar 2020
Villarreal
1-2
Leganes
Sep 2019
Leganes
0-3
Villarreal
Apr 2019
Villarreal
2-1
Leganes
Apr 2018
Villarreal
2-1
Leganes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.