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Saturday 12 May 2018, 17:15 Anoeta Full time
60% 24% 16%
Home win
59.8%
Draw
23.9%
Away win
16.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad 59.8% 1.67
Draw 23.9% 4.19
Leganes 16.4% 6.11

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.4% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.6% 13.12
Over 1.5 75.1% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.9% 4.01
Over 2.5 49.7% 2.01
Under 2.5 50.3% 1.99
Over 3.5 27.8% 3.60
Under 3.5 72.2% 1.38
Over 4.5 13.1% 7.61
Under 4.5 86.9% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.4% 2.07
No 51.6% 1.94

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad / Draw 83.6% 1.20
Real Sociedad / Leganes 76.1% 1.31
Draw / Leganes 40.2% 2.49

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.6
5.3
2.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
12.0
11.4
4.5
1.3
0.3
0.0
2
11.5
9.7
4.1
1.2
0.2
0.0
3
7.0
5.9
2.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
4
3.2
2.7
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.2
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Real Sociedad goals. Columns: Leganes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.