Saturday 28 April 2018, 19:30
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
80%
14%
6%
Home win
79.8%
Draw
13.8%
Away win
6.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.8% | 7.26 | — | — |
| Leganes | 6.5% | 15.43 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.3% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.7% | 27.16 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.2% | 7.03 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| No | 53.3% | 1.87 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Leganes | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw / Leganes | 20.3% | 4.94 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.7
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.6
|
6.5
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.3
|
8.4
|
2.9
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.2
|
7.6
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.6
|
5.2
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.1
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2025
Real Madrid
3-2
Leganes
Nov 2024
Leganes
0-3
Real Madrid
Jul 2020
Leganes
2-2
Real Madrid
Oct 2019
Real Madrid
5-0
Leganes
Apr 2019
Leganes
1-1
Real Madrid
Sep 2018
Real Madrid
4-1
Leganes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.