Saturday 7 April 2018, 21:45
Camp Nou
Full time
86%
10%
3%
Home win
86.2%
Draw
10.5%
Away win
3.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw | 10.5% | 9.57 | — | — |
| Leganes | 3.3% | 30.10 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.3% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.7% | 26.90 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.8% | 6.78 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.0% | 4.00 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.4% | 2.83 | — | — |
| No | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 96.7% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Leganes | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Draw / Leganes | 13.8% | 7.26 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.7
|
4.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.5
|
6.7
|
1.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
14.1
|
6.5
|
1.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
10.2
|
4.7
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
5.9
|
2.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Leganes
0-1
Barcelona
Dec 2024
Barcelona
0-1
Leganes
Jun 2020
Barcelona
2-0
Leganes
Nov 2019
Leganes
1-2
Barcelona
Jan 2019
Barcelona
3-1
Leganes
Sep 2018
Leganes
2-1
Barcelona
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.