Thursday 1 March 2018, 22:00
Gran Canaria
Full time
5%
10%
85%
Home win
4.8%
Draw
10.3%
Away win
84.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 4.8% | 21.05 | — | — |
| Draw | 10.3% | 9.69 | — | — |
| Barcelona | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.8% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.2% | 45.64 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 9.3% | 10.81 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 75.5% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 24.5% | 4.08 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
| No | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas / Draw | 15.1% | 6.64 | — | — |
| Las Palmas / Barcelona | 89.7% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Draw / Barcelona | 95.2% | 1.05 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.2
|
5.9
|
10.0
|
10.8
|
8.7
|
5.7
|
| 1 |
1.1
|
4.7
|
7.2
|
7.8
|
6.3
|
4.1
|
| 2 |
0.5
|
1.6
|
2.6
|
2.8
|
2.3
|
1.5
|
| 3 |
0.1
|
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Las Palmas
0-2
Barcelona
Nov 2024
Barcelona
1-2
Las Palmas
Mar 2024
Barcelona
1-0
Las Palmas
Jan 2024
Las Palmas
1-2
Barcelona
Oct 2017
Barcelona
3-0
Las Palmas
May 2017
Las Palmas
1-4
Barcelona
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.