Sunday 14 May 2017, 21:00
Gran Canaria
Full time
10%
14%
76%
Home win
10.4%
Draw
13.7%
Away win
75.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 10.4% | 9.63 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.7% | 7.30 | — | — |
| Barcelona | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.4% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.6% | 62.15 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 6.7% | 14.87 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 19.4% | 5.16 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| No | 33.5% | 2.98 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas / Draw | 24.1% | 4.15 | — | — |
| Las Palmas / Barcelona | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw / Barcelona | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.6
|
3.9
|
6.6
|
6.9
|
5.4
|
3.4
|
| 1 |
1.3
|
5.2
|
7.7
|
8.1
|
6.4
|
4.0
|
| 2 |
0.9
|
2.9
|
4.5
|
4.8
|
3.8
|
2.4
|
| 3 |
0.4
|
1.1
|
1.8
|
1.9
|
1.5
|
0.9
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Las Palmas
0-2
Barcelona
Nov 2024
Barcelona
1-2
Las Palmas
Mar 2024
Barcelona
1-0
Las Palmas
Jan 2024
Las Palmas
1-2
Barcelona
Mar 2018
Las Palmas
1-1
Barcelona
Oct 2017
Barcelona
3-0
Las Palmas
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.