Wednesday 26 April 2017, 20:30
Camp Nou
Full time
94%
4%
2%
Home win
94.4%
Draw
4.0%
Away win
1.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Draw | 4.0% | 24.96 | — | — |
| Osasuna | 1.6% | 63.49 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 99.5% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 0.5% | 188.32 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 97.3% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 2.7% | 36.39 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 9.3% | 10.70 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 21.1% | 4.73 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| No | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 98.4% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Osasuna | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Draw / Osasuna | 5.6% | 17.91 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
2.0
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
4.9
|
3.5
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.7
|
5.6
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.0
|
6.5
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
8.5
|
6.2
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Osasuna
1-2
Barcelona
Dec 2025
Barcelona
2-0
Osasuna
Mar 2025
Barcelona
3-0
Osasuna
Sep 2024
Osasuna
4-2
Barcelona
Jan 2024
Barcelona
1-0
Osasuna
Sep 2023
Osasuna
1-2
Barcelona
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.