Wednesday 5 April 2017, 21:30
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
62%
23%
15%
Home win
62.4%
Draw
22.8%
Away win
14.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.8% | 4.38 | — | — |
| Osasuna | 14.8% | 6.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.3% | 13.71 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.1% | 4.14 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.7% | 3.48 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.8% | 7.24 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
| No | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Alaves / Osasuna | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Osasuna | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.3
|
4.8
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.0
|
10.9
|
4.2
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.0
|
9.7
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.6
|
6.1
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.6
|
2.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.4
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Alaves
2-2
Osasuna
Dec 2025
Osasuna
3-0
Alaves
May 2025
Alaves
1-1
Osasuna
Dec 2024
Osasuna
2-2
Alaves
Mar 2024
Osasuna
1-0
Alaves
Oct 2023
Alaves
0-2
Osasuna
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.