Saturday 11 March 2017, 19:30
La Rosaleda
Full time
39%
30%
30%
Home win
39.2%
Draw
30.4%
Away win
30.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Alaves | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.6% | 8.60 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.1% | 2.93 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.4% | 2.61 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.5% | 5.40 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.5% | 13.33 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| No | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga / Draw | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Malaga / Alaves | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Alaves | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.6
|
10.3
|
5.7
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.2
|
14.1
|
6.8
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.8
|
8.0
|
4.1
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.1
|
3.2
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.