Sunday 6 May 2018, 13:00
La Rosaleda
Full time
35%
33%
32%
Home win
34.8%
Draw
33.4%
Away win
31.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 34.8% | 2.87 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.4% | 3.00 | — | — |
| Alaves | 31.8% | 3.14 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.7% | 6.39 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 57.6% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 29.8% | 3.35 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 70.2% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 12.7% | 7.90 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 87.3% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.5% | 22.38 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.5% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
| No | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga / Draw | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Malaga / Alaves | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Draw / Alaves | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.7
|
12.9
|
6.4
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.8
|
14.3
|
6.2
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.2
|
6.6
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
2.2
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.