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Saturday 7 April 2018, 14:00 Estadio de Mendizorroza Full time
2–0
HT 0–0
28% 35% 37%
Home win
28.1%
Draw
35.0%
Away win
36.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Alaves 28.1% 3.56
Draw 35.0% 2.86
Getafe 36.9% 2.71

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 81.7% 1.22
Under 0.5 18.3% 5.46
Over 1.5 52.8% 1.90
Under 1.5 47.2% 2.12
Over 2.5 25.4% 3.94
Under 2.5 74.6% 1.34
Over 3.5 10.0% 10.04
Under 3.5 90.0% 1.11
Over 4.5 3.2% 30.90
Under 4.5 96.8% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.3% 2.91
No 65.7% 1.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Alaves / Draw 63.1% 1.59
Alaves / Getafe 65.0% 1.54
Draw / Getafe 71.9% 1.39

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
18.3
15.9
7.9
2.5
0.6
0.1
1
13.1
14.0
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
5.5
5.2
2.5
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
1.4
1.4
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Alaves goals. Columns: Getafe goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.