Sunday 4 March 2018, 19:30
Anoeta
Full time
53%
26%
21%
Home win
53.1%
Draw
25.6%
Away win
21.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.6% | 3.91 | — | — |
| Alaves | 21.3% | 4.69 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.6% | 13.08 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.8% | 3.59 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.2% | 7.58 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| No | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad / Draw | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad / Alaves | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Alaves | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.6
|
6.1
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.0
|
12.2
|
5.7
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.8
|
9.7
|
4.8
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.5
|
5.4
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
2.3
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Real Sociedad
3-3
Alaves
Dec 2025
Alaves
1-0
Real Sociedad
Apr 2025
Alaves
1-0
Real Sociedad
Aug 2024
Real Sociedad
1-2
Alaves
Mar 2024
Alaves
0-1
Real Sociedad
Jan 2024
Real Sociedad
1-1
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.