Saturday 10 February 2018, 21:45
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
75%
14%
11%
Home win
75.0%
Draw
14.3%
Away win
10.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.3% | 6.99 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad | 10.7% | 9.35 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.1% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.9% | 53.79 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 7.6% | 13.08 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 21.4% | 4.68 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| No | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Real Sociedad | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Sociedad | 25.0% | 4.00 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.9
|
1.4
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
4.4
|
5.6
|
3.0
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.1
|
8.1
|
4.6
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.2
|
8.2
|
4.7
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
5.4
|
6.2
|
3.5
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
3.3
|
3.8
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Real Madrid
4-1
Real Sociedad
Sep 2025
Real Sociedad
1-2
Real Madrid
May 2025
Real Madrid
2-0
Real Sociedad
Sep 2024
Real Sociedad
0-2
Real Madrid
Apr 2024
Real Sociedad
0-1
Real Madrid
Sep 2023
Real Madrid
2-1
Real Sociedad
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.