Saturday 27 January 2018, 21:45
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
55%
24%
20%
Home win
55.5%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
20.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.5% | 4.09 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad | 20.1% | 4.98 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.9% | 14.59 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.2% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.8% | 4.39 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.9% | 6.69 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.1% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| No | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Real Sociedad | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Sociedad | 44.5% | 2.24 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.9
|
5.5
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.4
|
11.7
|
5.5
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.9
|
9.8
|
4.9
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.9
|
5.9
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
2.6
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Villarreal
3-1
Real Sociedad
Nov 2025
Real Sociedad
2-3
Villarreal
Apr 2025
Villarreal
2-2
Real Sociedad
Jan 2025
Real Sociedad
1-0
Villarreal
Feb 2024
Real Sociedad
1-3
Villarreal
Dec 2023
Villarreal
0-3
Real Sociedad
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.