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Sunday 7 January 2018, 13:00 Municipal de Butarque Full time
34% 29% 37%
Home win
34.0%
Draw
29.3%
Away win
36.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes 34.0% 2.94
Draw 29.3% 3.41
Real Sociedad 36.7% 2.72

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.0% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.0% 10.04
Over 1.5 69.7% 1.43
Under 1.5 30.3% 3.30
Over 2.5 42.7% 2.34
Under 2.5 57.3% 1.75
Over 3.5 21.9% 4.57
Under 3.5 78.1% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.4% 10.59
Under 4.5 90.6% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.4% 2.03
No 50.6% 1.97

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes / Draw 63.3% 1.58
Leganes / Real Sociedad 70.7% 1.41
Draw / Real Sociedad 66.0% 1.51

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.0
10.4
6.9
2.8
0.9
0.2
1
9.9
13.9
8.0
3.3
1.0
0.2
2
6.2
7.6
4.7
1.9
0.6
0.1
3
2.4
3.0
1.8
0.7
0.2
0.1
4
0.7
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leganes goals. Columns: Real Sociedad goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.