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Friday 24 August 2018, 23:15 Municipal de Butarque Full time
30% 28% 42%
Home win
30.1%
Draw
27.7%
Away win
42.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes 30.1% 3.33
Draw 27.7% 3.61
Real Sociedad 42.2% 2.37

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.7% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.3% 12.03
Over 1.5 73.7% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.3% 3.80
Over 2.5 47.7% 2.10
Under 2.5 52.3% 1.91
Over 3.5 26.0% 3.84
Under 3.5 74.0% 1.35
Over 4.5 12.0% 8.33
Under 4.5 88.0% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.8% 1.89
No 47.2% 2.12

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes / Draw 57.8% 1.73
Leganes / Real Sociedad 72.3% 1.38
Draw / Real Sociedad 69.9% 1.43

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.3
10.0
7.6
3.6
1.3
0.4
1
8.0
13.2
8.9
4.2
1.5
0.4
2
5.1
7.2
5.1
2.4
0.9
0.2
3
2.0
2.8
2.0
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
0.6
0.8
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leganes goals. Columns: Real Sociedad goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.