Sunday 20 May 2018, 21:45
Camp Nou
Full time
82%
11%
7%
Home win
81.5%
Draw
11.4%
Away win
7.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw | 11.4% | 8.78 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad | 7.1% | 14.09 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.5% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.5% | 64.68 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 6.6% | 15.07 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 19.1% | 5.24 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| No | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Real Sociedad | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Sociedad | 18.5% | 5.41 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.5
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
4.1
|
4.6
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
7.2
|
7.2
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.1
|
8.1
|
4.0
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
6.8
|
6.8
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
4.6
|
4.6
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Real Sociedad
2-1
Barcelona
Sep 2025
Barcelona
2-1
Real Sociedad
Mar 2025
Barcelona
4-0
Real Sociedad
Nov 2024
Real Sociedad
1-0
Barcelona
May 2024
Barcelona
2-0
Real Sociedad
Nov 2023
Real Sociedad
0-1
Barcelona
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.