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Tuesday 17 April 2018, 22:00 Municipal de Balaídos Full time
13% 18% 69%
Home win
12.8%
Draw
17.7%
Away win
69.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo 12.8% 7.80
Draw 17.7% 5.64
Barcelona 69.5% 1.44

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.6% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.4% 29.38
Over 1.5 87.1% 1.15
Under 1.5 12.9% 7.75
Over 2.5 68.3% 1.46
Under 2.5 31.7% 3.16
Over 3.5 46.8% 2.14
Under 3.5 53.2% 1.88
Over 4.5 27.9% 3.59
Under 4.5 72.1% 1.39

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.0% 1.70
No 41.0% 2.44

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo / Draw 30.5% 3.28
Celta Vigo / Barcelona 82.3% 1.22
Draw / Barcelona 87.2% 1.15

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.4
7.0
9.3
7.8
4.9
2.4
1
2.5
8.0
9.4
7.9
4.9
2.5
2
1.5
3.8
4.8
4.0
2.5
1.3
3
0.5
1.3
1.6
1.3
0.8
0.4
4
0.1
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Celta Vigo goals. Columns: Barcelona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.