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Saturday 14 April 2018, 19:30 Municipal de Butarque Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
36% 29% 35%
Home win
36.3%
Draw
28.8%
Away win
35.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes 36.3% 2.76
Draw 28.8% 3.48
Celta Vigo 35.0% 2.86

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.7% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.3% 10.79
Over 1.5 71.3% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.7% 3.49
Over 2.5 44.7% 2.23
Under 2.5 55.3% 1.81
Over 3.5 23.5% 4.25
Under 3.5 76.5% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.4% 9.59
Under 4.5 89.6% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.0% 1.96
No 49.0% 2.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes / Draw 65.0% 1.54
Leganes / Celta Vigo 71.2% 1.40
Draw / Celta Vigo 63.7% 1.57

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.3
9.6
6.3
2.6
0.8
0.2
1
9.8
13.7
7.9
3.2
1.0
0.2
2
6.6
8.0
4.9
2.0
0.6
0.1
3
2.7
3.3
2.0
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.9
1.0
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leganes goals. Columns: Celta Vigo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.