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Sunday 18 March 2018, 13:00 Municipal de Butarque Full time
2–1
HT 1–0
32% 29% 38%
Home win
32.0%
Draw
29.5%
Away win
38.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes 32.0% 3.12
Draw 29.5% 3.39
Sevilla 38.5% 2.60

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.7% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.3% 9.73
Over 1.5 69.0% 1.45
Under 1.5 31.0% 3.22
Over 2.5 41.9% 2.39
Under 2.5 58.1% 1.72
Over 3.5 21.2% 4.72
Under 3.5 78.8% 1.27
Over 4.5 9.0% 11.07
Under 4.5 91.0% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.5% 2.06
No 51.5% 1.94

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes / Draw 61.5% 1.63
Leganes / Sevilla 70.5% 1.42
Draw / Sevilla 68.0% 1.47

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.3
11.0
7.3
3.0
0.9
0.2
1
9.8
13.9
8.2
3.4
1.1
0.3
2
5.9
7.3
4.5
1.9
0.6
0.1
3
2.2
2.7
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.1
4
0.6
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leganes goals. Columns: Sevilla goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.