Saturday 10 March 2018, 17:15
Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán
Full time
46%
24%
30%
Home win
45.6%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
30.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.1% | 4.14 | — | — |
| Valencia | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.6% | 21.88 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.1% | 6.20 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.4% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 40.4% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.5% | 4.45 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| No | 35.9% | 2.79 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla / Draw | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Sevilla / Valencia | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Valencia | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.6
|
5.1
|
4.1
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
6.5
|
10.8
|
7.3
|
3.5
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
6.4
|
9.2
|
6.6
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
3.8
|
5.5
|
3.9
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
2.5
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Sevilla
0-2
Valencia
Dec 2025
Valencia
1-1
Sevilla
Apr 2025
Valencia
1-0
Sevilla
Jan 2025
Sevilla
1-1
Valencia
Feb 2024
Valencia
0-0
Sevilla
Aug 2023
Sevilla
1-2
Valencia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.