Sunday 4 March 2018, 21:45
Mestalla
Full time
63%
19%
17%
Home win
63.1%
Draw
19.5%
Away win
17.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.5% | 5.14 | — | — |
| Real Betis | 17.4% | 5.75 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.8% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.2% | 31.28 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.1% | 8.29 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| No | 35.8% | 2.79 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Valencia / Real Betis | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Betis | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.2
|
2.8
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
6.0
|
8.4
|
4.8
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.8
|
9.4
|
5.7
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
6.2
|
7.5
|
4.6
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.7
|
4.5
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.8
|
2.2
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Real Betis
2-1
Valencia
Nov 2025
Valencia
1-1
Real Betis
May 2025
Real Betis
1-1
Valencia
Nov 2024
Valencia
4-2
Real Betis
Apr 2024
Valencia
1-2
Real Betis
Oct 2023
Real Betis
3-0
Valencia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.