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Saturday 3 February 2018, 17:15 Benito Villamarín Full time
26% 26% 48%
Home win
25.9%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
48.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis 25.9% 3.86
Draw 26.0% 3.85
Villarreal 48.1% 2.08

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.0% 1.07
Under 0.5 7.0% 14.35
Over 1.5 77.1% 1.30
Under 1.5 22.9% 4.36
Over 2.5 52.3% 1.91
Under 2.5 47.7% 2.10
Over 3.5 30.1% 3.32
Under 3.5 69.9% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.8% 6.78
Under 4.5 85.2% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.4% 1.81
No 44.6% 2.24

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis / Draw 51.9% 1.93
Real Betis / Villarreal 74.0% 1.35
Draw / Villarreal 74.1% 1.35

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.0
9.5
8.3
4.5
1.8
0.6
1
6.4
12.3
9.5
5.2
2.1
0.7
2
4.1
6.6
5.4
2.9
1.2
0.4
3
1.5
2.5
2.0
1.1
0.5
0.1
4
0.4
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Real Betis goals. Columns: Villarreal goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.