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Monday 15 January 2018, 22:00 Benito Villamarín Full time
3–2
HT 2–1
43% 30% 28%
Home win
42.7%
Draw
29.5%
Away win
27.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis 42.7% 2.34
Draw 29.5% 3.39
Leganes 27.8% 3.59

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.2% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.8% 9.28
Over 1.5 67.8% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.2% 3.10
Over 2.5 40.5% 2.47
Under 2.5 59.5% 1.68
Over 3.5 20.1% 4.97
Under 3.5 79.9% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.4% 11.90
Under 4.5 91.6% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.8% 2.14
No 53.2% 1.88

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis / Draw 72.2% 1.39
Real Betis / Leganes 70.5% 1.42
Draw / Leganes 57.3% 1.74

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.8
9.2
5.0
1.7
0.4
0.1
1
12.2
13.8
6.5
2.2
0.5
0.1
2
8.5
8.5
4.2
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
3.7
3.7
1.8
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
1.2
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Real Betis goals. Columns: Leganes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.