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Sunday 10 December 2017, 17:15 Benito Villamarín Full time
14% 24% 62%
Home win
13.9%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
62.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis 13.9% 7.22
Draw 23.8% 4.20
Atletico Madrid 62.3% 1.60

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.1% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.9% 11.28
Over 1.5 71.8% 1.39
Under 1.5 28.2% 3.55
Over 2.5 45.5% 2.20
Under 2.5 54.5% 1.84
Over 3.5 24.2% 4.14
Under 3.5 75.8% 1.32
Over 4.5 10.8% 9.23
Under 4.5 89.2% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.1% 2.32
No 56.9% 1.76

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis / Draw 37.7% 2.65
Real Betis / Atletico Madrid 76.2% 1.31
Draw / Atletico Madrid 86.1% 1.16

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.9
14.1
13.1
7.8
3.5
1.2
1
5.3
11.1
9.3
5.6
2.5
0.9
2
2.1
3.7
3.3
2.0
0.9
0.3
3
0.5
0.9
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
4
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Real Betis goals. Columns: Atletico Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.