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Saturday 20 January 2018, 19:30 Estadio de la Cerámica Full time
2–1
HT 1–0
60% 27% 13%
Home win
60.3%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
12.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Villarreal 60.3% 1.66
Draw 26.8% 3.73
Levante 12.9% 7.73

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.0% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.0% 7.71
Over 1.5 62.5% 1.60
Under 1.5 37.5% 2.67
Over 2.5 34.9% 2.87
Under 2.5 65.1% 1.54
Over 3.5 16.0% 6.25
Under 3.5 84.0% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.1% 16.27
Under 4.5 93.9% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.4% 2.90
No 65.6% 1.53

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Villarreal / Draw 87.1% 1.15
Villarreal / Levante 73.2% 1.37
Draw / Levante 39.7% 2.52

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.0
6.3
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
18.2
11.3
3.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.4
8.1
2.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
7.3
4.1
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
2.8
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Villarreal goals. Columns: Levante goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.