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Sunday 7 January 2018, 19:30 Estadio de la Cerámica Full time
66% 22% 13%
Home win
65.8%
Draw
21.5%
Away win
12.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Villarreal 65.8% 1.52
Draw 21.5% 4.64
Deportivo La Coruna 12.6% 7.92

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.0% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.0% 14.19
Over 1.5 76.4% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.6% 4.24
Over 2.5 51.6% 1.94
Under 2.5 48.4% 2.07
Over 3.5 29.4% 3.40
Under 3.5 70.6% 1.42
Over 4.5 14.3% 7.00
Under 4.5 85.7% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.1% 2.17
No 53.9% 1.86

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Villarreal / Draw 87.4% 1.14
Villarreal / Deportivo La Coruna 78.5% 1.27
Draw / Deportivo La Coruna 34.2% 2.93

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.0
4.3
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
12.3
10.2
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
12.8
9.6
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
8.5
6.4
2.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
4.2
3.2
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.7
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Villarreal goals. Columns: Deportivo La Coruna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.