Sunday 17 December 2017, 21:45
Camp Nou
Full time
89%
8%
3%
Home win
89.2%
Draw
7.7%
Away win
3.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Draw | 7.7% | 13.01 | — | — |
| Deportivo La Coruna | 3.1% | 32.31 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.4% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.6% | 62.66 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 7.2% | 13.96 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 20.1% | 4.97 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
| No | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 96.9% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Deportivo La Coruna | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Draw / Deportivo La Coruna | 10.8% | 9.27 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
4.9
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.1
|
6.0
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.0
|
7.2
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.9
|
6.5
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
7.2
|
4.7
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2018
Deportivo La Coruna
2-4
Barcelona
Mar 2017
Deportivo La Coruna
2-1
Barcelona
Oct 2016
Barcelona
4-0
Deportivo La Coruna
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.