Sunday 26 November 2017, 21:45
Mestalla
Full time
18%
19%
63%
Home win
17.8%
Draw
18.9%
Away win
63.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 17.8% | 5.63 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.9% | 5.28 | — | — |
| Barcelona | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.3% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.7% | 36.52 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.5% | 9.50 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 27.3% | 3.66 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| No | 33.3% | 3.01 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 36.7% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Valencia / Barcelona | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Barcelona | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.7
|
5.3
|
7.1
|
5.9
|
3.7
|
1.8
|
| 1 |
2.5
|
7.8
|
9.1
|
7.6
|
4.7
|
2.4
|
| 2 |
1.9
|
4.7
|
5.9
|
4.9
|
3.0
|
1.5
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
2.0
|
2.5
|
2.1
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.6
|
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Valencia
3-1
Barcelona
Sep 2025
Barcelona
6-0
Valencia
Jan 2025
Barcelona
7-1
Valencia
Aug 2024
Valencia
1-2
Barcelona
Apr 2024
Barcelona
4-2
Valencia
Dec 2023
Valencia
1-1
Barcelona
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.