Saturday 28 October 2017, 21:45
San Mamés
Full time
18%
23%
60%
Home win
17.7%
Draw
22.5%
Away win
59.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 17.7% | 5.65 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.5% | 4.44 | — | — |
| Barcelona | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.7% | 17.43 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.8% | 5.06 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.0% | 5.57 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
| No | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club / Draw | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Athletic Club / Barcelona | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Barcelona | 82.3% | 1.21 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.7
|
9.6
|
10.1
|
6.6
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
| 1 |
4.5
|
10.7
|
10.0
|
6.6
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
| 2 |
2.5
|
5.0
|
4.9
|
3.3
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
1.6
|
1.6
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Athletic Club
0-1
Barcelona
Nov 2025
Barcelona
4-0
Athletic Club
May 2025
Athletic Club
0-3
Barcelona
Aug 2024
Barcelona
2-1
Athletic Club
Mar 2024
Athletic Club
0-0
Barcelona
Oct 2023
Barcelona
1-0
Athletic Club
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.