Tuesday 19 September 2017, 23:00
Camp Nou
Full time
79%
13%
8%
Home win
79.0%
Draw
13.5%
Away win
7.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.5% | 7.41 | — | — |
| Eibar | 7.5% | 13.26 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.3% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.7% | 36.50 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.0% | 9.11 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 31.9% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| No | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Eibar | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw / Eibar | 21.0% | 4.75 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.7
|
1.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.6
|
6.1
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.0
|
8.4
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.7
|
8.1
|
3.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.0
|
5.9
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.1
|
3.4
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2021
Eibar
0-1
Barcelona
Dec 2020
Barcelona
1-1
Eibar
Feb 2020
Barcelona
5-0
Eibar
Oct 2019
Eibar
0-3
Barcelona
May 2019
Eibar
2-2
Barcelona
Jan 2019
Barcelona
3-0
Eibar
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.