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Friday 15 September 2017, 22:00 Ipurua Municipal Stadium Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
51% 28% 21%
Home win
51.3%
Draw
28.0%
Away win
20.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar 51.3% 1.95
Draw 28.0% 3.57
Leganes 20.7% 4.83

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.3% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.7% 9.39
Over 1.5 67.9% 1.47
Under 1.5 32.1% 3.11
Over 2.5 40.7% 2.46
Under 2.5 59.3% 1.69
Over 3.5 20.3% 4.93
Under 3.5 79.7% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.5% 11.76
Under 4.5 91.5% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.5% 2.25
No 55.5% 1.80

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar / Draw 79.3% 1.26
Eibar / Leganes 72.0% 1.39
Draw / Leganes 48.7% 2.05

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.7
7.6
3.5
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
13.9
13.0
5.1
1.4
0.3
0.1
2
10.7
9.0
3.8
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
5.3
4.4
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.9
1.6
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eibar goals. Columns: Leganes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.