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Friday 18 August 2017, 21:15 Municipal de Butarque Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
33% 34% 34%
Home win
32.7%
Draw
33.8%
Away win
33.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes 32.7% 3.06
Draw 33.8% 2.96
Alaves 33.5% 2.98

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 83.8% 1.19
Under 0.5 16.2% 6.15
Over 1.5 56.5% 1.77
Under 1.5 43.5% 2.30
Over 2.5 28.8% 3.48
Under 2.5 71.2% 1.40
Over 3.5 12.0% 8.34
Under 3.5 88.0% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.2% 24.07
Under 4.5 95.8% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.7% 2.66
No 62.3% 1.60

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes / Draw 66.5% 1.50
Leganes / Alaves 66.2% 1.51
Draw / Alaves 67.3% 1.49

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
16.2
13.7
6.9
2.2
0.5
0.1
1
13.5
14.3
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
6.6
6.2
2.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
2.0
1.9
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leganes goals. Columns: Alaves goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.