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Sunday 30 April 2017, 17:15 Benito Villamarín Full time
1–4
HT 1–0
37% 33% 29%
Home win
37.3%
Draw
33.3%
Away win
29.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis 37.3% 2.68
Draw 33.3% 3.00
Alaves 29.4% 3.40

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.2% 1.19
Under 0.5 15.8% 6.33
Over 1.5 57.4% 1.74
Under 1.5 42.6% 2.35
Over 2.5 29.6% 3.38
Under 2.5 70.4% 1.42
Over 3.5 12.5% 8.00
Under 3.5 87.5% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.4% 22.77
Under 4.5 95.6% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.2% 2.62
No 61.8% 1.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis / Draw 70.6% 1.42
Real Betis / Alaves 66.7% 1.50
Draw / Alaves 62.7% 1.59

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.8
12.3
5.7
1.7
0.4
0.1
1
14.5
14.2
5.9
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
7.8
6.9
3.0
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
2.7
2.3
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Real Betis goals. Columns: Alaves goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.