Sunday 23 April 2017, 19:30
Gran Canaria
Full time
47%
27%
26%
Home win
46.9%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
25.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.2% | 3.68 | — | — |
| Alaves | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.3% | 12.08 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.2% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.1% | 3.84 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.0% | 8.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| No | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas / Draw | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Las Palmas / Alaves | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Alaves | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.3
|
7.3
|
4.3
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.7
|
12.9
|
6.5
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.7
|
9.3
|
4.9
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.4
|
4.7
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
1.8
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2025
Las Palmas
2-2
Alaves
Sep 2024
Alaves
2-0
Las Palmas
May 2024
Las Palmas
1-1
Alaves
Dec 2023
Alaves
0-1
Las Palmas
Apr 2018
Las Palmas
0-4
Alaves
Dec 2017
Alaves
2-0
Las Palmas
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.