Friday 8 December 2017, 22:00
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
50%
27%
23%
Home win
50.4%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
22.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Las Palmas | 22.8% | 4.39 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.7% | 11.52 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.4% | 3.65 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.4% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.9% | 4.01 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.3% | 8.84 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| No | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 77.2% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Alaves / Las Palmas | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Las Palmas | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.7
|
7.0
|
3.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.7
|
12.8
|
5.8
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.7
|
9.4
|
4.6
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.0
|
4.9
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2025
Las Palmas
2-2
Alaves
Sep 2024
Alaves
2-0
Las Palmas
May 2024
Las Palmas
1-1
Alaves
Dec 2023
Alaves
0-1
Las Palmas
Apr 2018
Las Palmas
0-4
Alaves
Apr 2017
Las Palmas
1-1
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.