Monday 4 December 2017, 22:00
Estadi Montilivi
Full time
50%
29%
21%
Home win
50.5%
Draw
28.5%
Away win
21.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| Alaves | 21.0% | 4.76 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.2% | 8.92 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.4% | 3.00 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.2% | 5.21 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.9% | 12.70 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
| No | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona / Draw | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Girona / Alaves | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Alaves | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.2
|
7.9
|
3.6
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.2
|
13.1
|
5.1
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.7
|
8.8
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.1
|
4.2
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Alaves
2-2
Girona
Nov 2025
Girona
1-0
Alaves
Apr 2025
Girona
0-1
Alaves
Jan 2025
Alaves
0-1
Girona
May 2024
Alaves
2-2
Girona
Dec 2023
Girona
3-0
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.