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Sunday 23 April 2017, 17:15 Municipal de Balaídos Full time
55% 24% 21%
Home win
54.8%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
21.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo 54.8% 1.83
Draw 24.1% 4.16
Real Betis 21.2% 4.72

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.9% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.1% 16.37
Over 1.5 79.3% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.7% 4.83
Over 2.5 55.6% 1.80
Under 2.5 44.4% 2.25
Over 3.5 33.2% 3.01
Under 3.5 66.8% 1.50
Over 4.5 16.9% 5.91
Under 4.5 83.1% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.8% 1.79
No 44.2% 2.26

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo / Draw 78.8% 1.27
Celta Vigo / Real Betis 75.9% 1.32
Draw / Real Betis 45.2% 2.21

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.1
5.2
3.1
1.1
0.3
0.1
1
9.4
11.4
5.7
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
9.2
9.9
5.3
1.9
0.5
0.1
3
5.7
6.0
3.2
1.1
0.3
0.1
4
2.6
2.8
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.0
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Celta Vigo goals. Columns: Real Betis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.