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Sunday 14 May 2017, 21:00 San Mamés Full time
58% 27% 15%
Home win
57.8%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
15.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club 57.8% 1.73
Draw 26.8% 3.73
Leganes 15.4% 6.51

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.5% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.5% 8.66
Over 1.5 65.7% 1.52
Under 1.5 34.3% 2.91
Over 2.5 38.3% 2.61
Under 2.5 61.7% 1.62
Over 3.5 18.4% 5.42
Under 3.5 81.6% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.5% 13.40
Under 4.5 92.5% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.2% 2.55
No 60.8% 1.64

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club / Draw 84.6% 1.18
Athletic Club / Leganes 73.2% 1.37
Draw / Leganes 42.2% 2.37

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.5
6.6
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
16.1
12.0
3.8
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
13.0
8.7
2.9
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
6.7
4.5
1.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
2.6
1.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Athletic Club goals. Columns: Leganes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.