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Sunday 16 April 2017, 13:00 Municipal de Butarque Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
29% 31% 41%
Home win
28.5%
Draw
30.7%
Away win
40.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes 28.5% 3.50
Draw 30.7% 3.26
Espanyol 40.7% 2.45

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.7% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.3% 8.16
Over 1.5 64.5% 1.55
Under 1.5 35.5% 2.82
Over 2.5 36.8% 2.71
Under 2.5 63.2% 1.58
Over 3.5 17.4% 5.74
Under 3.5 82.6% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.9% 14.50
Under 4.5 93.1% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.1% 2.27
No 55.9% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes / Draw 59.3% 1.69
Leganes / Espanyol 69.3% 1.44
Draw / Espanyol 71.5% 1.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.3
13.0
8.3
3.3
1.0
0.2
1
10.2
14.1
8.0
3.2
1.0
0.2
2
5.3
6.4
3.8
1.5
0.5
0.1
3
1.7
2.1
1.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leganes goals. Columns: Espanyol goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.