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Wednesday 5 April 2017, 22:30 Municipal de Butarque Full time
13% 22% 65%
Home win
13.0%
Draw
21.6%
Away win
65.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes 13.0% 7.67
Draw 21.6% 4.64
Real Madrid 65.4% 1.53

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.1% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.9% 14.58
Over 1.5 76.9% 1.30
Under 1.5 23.1% 4.33
Over 2.5 52.3% 1.91
Under 2.5 47.7% 2.10
Over 3.5 30.1% 3.32
Under 3.5 69.9% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.7% 6.78
Under 4.5 85.3% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.1% 2.12
No 52.9% 1.89

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes / Draw 34.6% 2.89
Leganes / Real Madrid 78.4% 1.28
Draw / Real Madrid 87.0% 1.15

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.9
11.9
12.5
8.3
4.1
1.7
1
4.3
10.3
9.7
6.4
3.2
1.3
2
1.9
3.8
3.7
2.5
1.2
0.5
3
0.5
1.0
1.0
0.6
0.3
0.1
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leganes goals. Columns: Real Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.