Saturday 4 March 2017, 17:15
Ipurua Municipal Stadium
Full time
28%
23%
49%
Home win
28.0%
Draw
23.3%
Away win
48.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.3% | 4.30 | — | — |
| Real Madrid | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.1% | 24.63 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.6% | 6.85 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.8% | 2.87 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65.6% | 1.53 | — | — |
| No | 34.4% | 2.90 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar / Draw | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Eibar / Real Madrid | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Madrid | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.1
|
6.1
|
6.5
|
4.2
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
4.4
|
10.2
|
9.3
|
6.0
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
| 2 |
3.6
|
6.9
|
6.6
|
4.3
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
| 3 |
1.7
|
3.3
|
3.1
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
1.2
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Real Madrid
2-0
Eibar
Dec 2020
Eibar
1-3
Real Madrid
Jun 2020
Real Madrid
3-1
Eibar
Nov 2019
Eibar
0-4
Real Madrid
Apr 2019
Real Madrid
2-1
Eibar
Nov 2018
Eibar
3-0
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.