Tuesday 28 February 2017, 20:30
Anoeta
Full time
45%
26%
29%
Home win
45.1%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
29.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.7% | 3.90 | — | — |
| Eibar | 29.3% | 3.42 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.9% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.1% | 16.31 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.6% | 4.85 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.0% | 5.89 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.0% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| No | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad / Draw | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad / Eibar | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Eibar | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.1
|
6.3
|
4.4
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.2
|
12.0
|
7.3
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
7.3
|
9.3
|
5.9
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.0
|
5.0
|
3.2
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
2.1
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Eibar
0-1
Real Sociedad
Dec 2020
Real Sociedad
1-1
Eibar
Mar 2020
Eibar
1-2
Real Sociedad
Nov 2019
Real Sociedad
4-1
Eibar
Apr 2019
Real Sociedad
1-1
Eibar
Aug 2018
Eibar
2-1
Real Sociedad
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.