Wednesday 1 March 2017, 22:30
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
77%
15%
8%
Home win
77.0%
Draw
14.7%
Away win
8.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.7% | 6.79 | — | — |
| Las Palmas | 8.2% | 12.14 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.7% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.3% | 30.37 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.8% | 7.81 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.4% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.2% | 3.55 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| No | 47.5% | 2.10 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Las Palmas | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Draw / Las Palmas | 23.0% | 4.36 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.3
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.5
|
6.8
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.8
|
8.8
|
3.6
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.8
|
8.0
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.7
|
5.4
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.6
|
3.0
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2025
Real Madrid
4-1
Las Palmas
Aug 2024
Las Palmas
1-1
Real Madrid
Jan 2024
Las Palmas
1-2
Real Madrid
Sep 2023
Real Madrid
2-0
Las Palmas
Mar 2018
Las Palmas
0-3
Real Madrid
Nov 2017
Real Madrid
3-0
Las Palmas
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.